Adapt Masaniello's progression to Strategy

Hi,
let's give a look at the running strategy before taking decisions.
Because how you can see, after 5 days and almost 100 bets, the capital is remaining, more or less, the same at the start.
Maybe I should shorten the length of the Masaniello round from 11 to something like 5 or 7 events.
I don't have time these days to code and follow new strategies, so I ask you to have a bit of patience with your strategy. I will do when this busy period will end.
I invite you to do some experiments changing the code of the existing strategies you have. Always protect you using very small capital when testing.
keep in touch!

Hi Luiz,
the strategy you are asking for has some incongruences that we have to solve before proceeding.
The price of the runners is between 3.5 and 4.8. So the price of reference for the Masaniello could be set to 4 (more or less the average price in the long term).
A Masaniello round of 7 wins out of 10, with a price of 4, produces a win amount equal to 280 times the initial capital.

It is really a big win (and it is very difficult to close it!). Because one winning Masaniello round, by itself, covers other 279 losing rounds, it is not necessary to apply a Fibonacci in case of loss.

I'm thinking about an alternative.
Instead of the Fibonacci progression, we apply a plain martingale on even odds. The stakes in case of a row of losses are 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, etc..
We reduce also the expected wins of the Masaniello round to 3 out of 10, that produces a win of 110% of the round capital. This is congruent with the martingale that expects even odd chances. Basically, every Masaniello round is like a coin flip.

This is a different strategy from what you asked for, let me know what do you think about.

Sorry for the mistake!
Recalculating the situation: a Masaniello 7/10 with LAY price 4, produces a profit of 28% of the round capital. In a Fibonacci on a row of losses, it is not enough to cover the previous losses.
It is needed at least a net win of 160%, especially when the row of losses is longer than 4 bets. I have found this Masaniello combination that matches well with Fibonacci: 7 out of 8 bets, LAY price 4 = +170%
Is it ok for you?
A question, how many maximum consecutive losses the Fibonacci progression must afford?

Hi,
Masaniello works with a fixed odd. If you want to bet in a range you should consider the worst price for you as the Masaniello input.
In your case, if you want to bet LAY in a range 3.5-4.8 you should consider 4.8 as the price to input in the Masaniello function. When you catch a win with a price lower than this, you get an extra win that is summed to the predetermined win of the Masa progression.
Statistically, if you bet in the range 3.5-4.8, the average odd will be the middle value: 4.15. You could input this value in the Masa function, but you lose the certainty of the profit for winning rounds and of the loss for losing rounds. Normally I prefer this approach and I use a capital greater than the one strictly required, to face these fluctuations.

Yes, +170% is the net win of a winning Masa round. if you bet 1 euro, you get in return gross 2.7 euro.

Regarding the question of the bankroll, it depends on which combination you are using for the Masa.
For example a Masaniello LAY with price 4, 7 wins out of 8 events. If you use as capital 0.03 cents for the Masaniello round, you get the following situation:

The second bet in the image (red square) is zero, and this is not allowed, because it means for Ipposnif that the capital of the round is finished and to reset the strategy.

Instead, if you use 0.05 capital, you manage to have all the bets above 0.01, and this is working.


4 consecutive losses in a Masaniello round means 1+2+3+5=11
Instead of the minimum allowed capital (0.05), I would use 0.20 as capital for the Masa round, this to reduce the effects of second decimal rounding.
11*0.20=2.2 euro for the strategy capital. Suggested operative capital 3.00 euro. So yes you can run this strategy with a balance of 12 euro!

I will implement this strategy, and share it from this forum
Keep in touch!

So I will develop with 7/8 but feel free to change the combination as you wish. You can use Tools-> Masaniello Calculator to find your perfect combination.
Regarding the strategy, thanks, it is very resilient despite the luck was not on my side: on 18 rounds 8 of them have been closed at the 11' bet (the last). Only 1 of these 8 was winning, and since the average odd is 2.07 I would have expected a number of wins close to 4. Maybe this negative variance will be compensated by a positive period in the future